Refugio County, TX: 8 findings, 1 at an alert level, 2 at a watch level and 5 noted

8 findings fired for Refugio County, TX this run, against a typical home value of $133,719 in September 2026.

Rules version 1. Assembled 2026-10-24. Back to Refugio County, TX.

8 findings #

currentretrieved 2026-10-24

  1. alertRefugio County, TX's typical home value is -6.7% against a year earlier, an alert level here: typical home value at least 5 percent below a year ago (arithmetic on Zillow ZHVI, county and metro files; convention chosen for this dashboard, not an official level). The previous published period is not in this table, so this is a standing level rather than a change.

    Period 2026-09.
    Show the arithmetic
    • test: home.yoyPct = -6.698891350053815 <= -5

    arithmetic on Zillow ZHVI, county and metro files; convention chosen for this dashboard, not an official level

  2. watchRefugio County, TX's typical home value is -6.7% against a year earlier, a watch level here: typical home value below a year ago (arithmetic on Zillow ZHVI, county and metro files; not an official level). The previous published period is not in this table, so this is a standing level rather than a change.

    Period 2026-09.
    Show the arithmetic
    • test: home.yoyPct = -6.698891350053815 < 0

    arithmetic on Zillow ZHVI, county and metro files; not an official level

  3. watchRefugio County, TX's momentum index is -0.67, a watch level here: momentum index in the cooling band (the cooling band of the momentum index computed here, score at or below -0.25; convention chosen for this dashboard, not an official level). The previous published period is not in this table, so this is a standing level rather than a change.

    Period 2026-09.
    Show the arithmetic
    • test: momentum = -0.6698891350053815 <= -0.25
    • momentum = Σ wᵢ · clip(changeᵢ / scaleᵢ, −1, 1) / Σ wᵢ over the terms present; weights and scales: home value 1-yr change 0.3 (±10%), rent 1-yr change 0.15 (±10%), jobs over-the-year change 0.3 (±3%), avg weekly wage over-the-year change 0.25 (±6%)

    the cooling band of the momentum index computed here, score at or below -0.25; convention chosen for this dashboard, not an official level

  4. noteRefugio County, TX's momentum index of -0.67 ranks 2,985th of 3,062 US counties, against a median of 0.30.

    Period 2026-09.
    Show the arithmetic
    • 3 on the 0-to-100 scale across 3062 US counties that published momentum
    • momentum = Σ wᵢ · clip(changeᵢ / scaleᵢ, −1, 1) / Σ wᵢ over the terms present; weights and scales: home value 1-yr change 0.3 (±10%), rent 1-yr change 0.15 (±10%), jobs over-the-year change 0.3 (±3%), avg weekly wage over-the-year change 0.25 (±6%)

    position among the entities that published this metric this period; not an official level

  5. noteRefugio County, TX's typical home value of -6.7% ranks 2,984th of 3,062 US counties, against a median of +2.9%.

    Period 2026-09.
    Show the arithmetic
    • 3 on the 0-to-100 scale across 3062 US counties that published home.yoyPct

    position among the entities that published this metric this period; not an official level

  6. noteRefugio County, TX's typical home value of -6.7% ranks 233rd of 243 Texas counties, against a median of +0.1%.

    Period 2026-09.
    Show the arithmetic
    • 4 on the 0-to-100 scale across 243 Texas counties that published home.yoyPct

    position among the entities that published this metric this period; not an official level

  7. noteRefugio County, TX's momentum index of -0.67 ranks 233rd of 243 Texas counties, against a median of 0.05.

    Period 2026-09.
    Show the arithmetic
    • 4 on the 0-to-100 scale across 243 Texas counties that published momentum
    • momentum = Σ wᵢ · clip(changeᵢ / scaleᵢ, −1, 1) / Σ wᵢ over the terms present; weights and scales: home value 1-yr change 0.3 (±10%), rent 1-yr change 0.15 (±10%), jobs over-the-year change 0.3 (±3%), avg weekly wage over-the-year change 0.25 (±6%)

    position among the entities that published this metric this period; not an official level

  8. noteThe next Zillow ZHVI typical home value (monthly) covering Refugio County, TX is due between 2026-11-14 and 2026-11-21, estimated from the publisher's past release pattern.

    Show the arithmetic
    • window = 2026-11-14 to 2026-11-21, estimated from the publisher's past release pattern

    estimated from the publisher's past release pattern; not an announced date

Findings come from a fixed rule table and a fixed sentence per rule. There is no model in this path: the numbers are detected, ordered and worded by code, and every one of them prints the operation that produced it.

Next release #

currentretrieved 2026-10-24

Median sales price of houses sold (Census, quarterly), expected between 2026-10-20 and 2026-10-30.

The window is approximate: the publisher has not posted a date for this release, so it is inferred from the cadence of previous ones.

The same brief, narrowed #

currentretrieved 2026-10-24

A lens keeps the findings whose subject matches one reader's interest and hides the rest. Every lens brief points its canonical here.

Subscribe #

currentretrieved 2026-10-24

The same findings as a feed. Entry ids are content hashes with no clock in them, so an unchanged finding is never sent twice.

Sources #

  • publishedZillow Home Value Index (ZHVI)Zillow Researchopen the source
    County_zhvi_uc_sfrcondo_tier_0.33_0.67_sm_sa_month.csv · period 2026-09 · retrieved 2026-10-24
  • estimateZillow Home Value Index (ZHVI)Zillow Researchopen the source
    · retrieved 2026-10-24 · momentum = Σ wᵢ · clip(changeᵢ / scaleᵢ, −1, 1) / Σ wᵢ over the terms present; weights and scales: home value 1-yr change 0.3 (±10%), rent 1-yr change 0.15 (±10%), jobs over-the-year change 0.3 (±3%), avg weekly wage over-the-year change 0.25 (±6%)
  • estimateZillow Home Value Index (ZHVI)Zillow Researchopen the source
    · retrieved 2026-10-24 · month-over-month percent change = (newest month − previous month) / |previous month| × 100, from Zillow's own published month columns

Citations

  • Zillow Research. Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI). series County_zhvi_uc_sfrcondo_tier_0.33_0.67_sm_sa_month.csv. period 2026-09. https://files.zillowstatic.com/research/public_csvs/zhvi/County_zhvi_uc_sfrcondo_tier_0.33_0.67_sm_sa_month.csv. accessed 2026-10-24.
  • Zillow Research. Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI). https://www.zillow.com/research/data/. accessed 2026-10-24. estimate computed by Embedding Atlas: momentum = Σ wᵢ · clip(changeᵢ / scaleᵢ, −1, 1) / Σ wᵢ over the terms present; weights and scales: home value 1-yr change 0.3 (±10%), rent 1-yr change 0.15 (±10%), jobs over-the-year change 0.3 (±3%), avg weekly wage over-the-year change 0.25 (±6%).
  • Zillow Research. Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI). https://www.zillow.com/research/data/. accessed 2026-10-24. estimate computed by Embedding Atlas: month-over-month percent change = (newest month − previous month) / |previous month| × 100, from Zillow's own published month columns.

What these numbers are not

  • A percentile here is a min-max scaling of average rank across the entities that published the metric this period: the smallest published value scores 0 and the largest scores 100. It is not the share of entities below the value, and entities that did not publish the metric are counted in neither the rank nor its denominator.
  • The named indicators shown beside this brief are national or basin-level series, not measurements of Refugio County, TX; 30-year fixed mortgage rate (watch), Los Angeles + Long Beach container volume, annual (watch), Shanghai to Los Angeles container rate (watch) and WTI crude oil, spot (watch) are at a watch or alert level. They are context.
  • Water rows are everything within 75 km of this place's internal point (150 km for reservoirs), not everything inside its boundary: lib/water searches discs, and every row prints its own distance.
  • Server report: satellite turbidity is only computed in a browser, so that term is absent here.
  • Stress uses 3 of 4 terms (drought, reservoirs, quality); missing terms are left out, not assumed.
  • Groundwater has no trend term: one latest level cannot say whether an aquifer is being drawn down.
  • BLS QCEW did not answer; no per-job figure.
  • Obligations are what agencies committed in FY2026 by place of performance: not outlays, and not the recipient's own location.
  • FY2026 closed 24 days ago; agencies report with up to a 45-day lag, so totals are still filling in.
  • The indicator block is the NATIONAL set, filtered only by lens. None of these series is keyed to this place: they are United States, gauge, single-state or port series and they are shown as context, not as this place's own readings.

Page assembled 2026-10-24T13:59:16.016Z. Place identity tables pulled 2026-10-01.